The NFA Demand Map: Where FFL Dealers Should Market Now

September's NFA numbers show the category is concentrated in a handful of states, and ATF's own FAQ caps your sellable market at your state line. Here is where dealers should spend their attention this quarter.

By Fred Thompson •

September Gun Sales Indicator Dips 2.3% as NFA Checks Surge 129%

September’s firearm-sales indicator slipped 2.3%, but NFA checks more than doubled. With ATF now backing away from federal registration and approval requirements for covered items, the suppressor market could be entering a new phase.

By Dean Weingarten •

NFA Guidance Is Live: The Q4 Market Math for FFL Dealers

ATF's October 9 open letter makes NFA approval and registration voluntary nationwide for suppressors, SBRs, SBSs and AOWs. The market math: September's demand data, what actually moved on the P&L, and where the category goes next quarter.

By Mark Edwards •

September NICS Numbers Show The Industry Is Still Alive And Well

NICS stands for National Instant Criminal Background Check System, an FBI database that licensed gun dealers must use to determine whether or not a potential purchaser is legally barred from buying a gun. Obviously, if you know how many NICS checks happen in a month, you have a very rough idea ho...

By Zac K •

Q4 2026 FFL Market Forecast: What the Data Says Now

August splits the market in two: adjusted firearms checks up 2.2 percent, NFA checks up 201.6 percent. Here is what the data says about FFL inventory, transfer revenue and the next 90 days.

By Mark Edwards •

Suppressor Boom: Where FFL Margin Actually Comes From

The August NFA check surge proves demand for suppressors is real. The margin, though, is no longer in the paperwork fee or the can itself - it is in the bundle, the service, and an intake process that knows which customer is on which legal path.

By Gary Stone •

Gun Sales Up Six Straight Months: What FFL Dealers Do Now

August 2026 adjusted NICS checks rose 2.2% to 1,115,410 - the sixth straight month of growth - while NFA checks tripled after a court deregulated suppressors. Here is what the data means for FFL dealers heading into Q4.

By Mark Edwards •

This Week in FFL: Aero Brands Return, August NICS Up 2.2%

Aero Precision, Ballistic Advantage, Stag Arms and VG6 return under new ownership; August NSSF-adjusted NICS checks edge up 2.2%; and NSSF, ATF and DOJ push straw-purchase education in Florida — this week's top stories for FFL dealers.

By Fred Thompson •

July's NICS Numbers Show We're Back In Business

The NICS numbers come from the FBI’s National Instant Criminal Background Check System, and they are a rough correlation to firearms sales in the U.S.; licensed dealers must check the NICS database before a sale, and when you add up all those queries, you have your NICS numbers for the month.

By Zac K •
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